Spike bucket
07/15/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/15/2026, 3:24:00 P.M. to 07/15/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,437.32
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 5% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.0x previous minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
25
Observable rows
25
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
14,437.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 14437 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 25 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/15/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 25 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
14,408.35 QUAI across 24 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
Net sender
Unknown type
787.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
Net sender
Unknown type
785.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Net sender
Unknown type
774.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004f123864664e75601A258793E6b77dcc85c0F
Net sender
Unknown type
769.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 14,408.35 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-2 min
Best candidate14 tx
421,746.49 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/15/2026, 3:22:11 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
25 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 3:21:02 P.M.
-6 min
2 tx
6.02 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/15/2026, 3:18:10 P.M.
-7 min
1 tx
120 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 3:17:03 P.M.
-8 min
1 tx
8,755.43 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 3:16:07 P.M.
-9 min
24 tx
27,760.9 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/15/2026, 3:14:51 P.M.
-9 min
24 tx
27,760.9 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/15/2026, 3:14:52 P.M.
-10 min
1 tx
62.17 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/15/2026, 3:13:58 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
787.34 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
25 transactions
442.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:52 P.M.
From: 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00270023913e7b9b489dc64675424348276c0753260ddb8a75415c17e6a6b713
395.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:52 P.M.
From: 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0033003348dc5c3f910a52b9ccf52f151871ff4a1faa56019cea8740cd1812ad
521.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x001028dcdCB3AC9C09F392c790de8Aa31c12459b
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007a0054e523e35831090dea08bb6d174bfa7a921ab9b2b80c389b14cef425be
453.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x00497bB7e32f778C15BBE53a9eA8Fe043698ac5B
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b005cd3c7461bf189df9a7847dc9005620d2b35f79dab8fa1861cc7002bb6
429.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x0047d5c4eC025efb05C1950B2983b2C37c4767c7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a00288f6b61c85371cc7901c2486c0247d84d572467598d155255fd654950
458.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x007F95f6B1De175cf3ab31eDD47C98CC5dDB3cC4
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e000141140ac0e11c829662dc00b68e3de8a2523eb0401a02f0d8f5b62270
483.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x0041164B493EABffaa007A24972a145a8D15eE74
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f007e948b230a3b26060452c5a0ceff8b5f40033b8a2699b38e482d15dbe8
456.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
From: 0x003BdABB9346516e60d508C7116B498172Fe92F7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b001f81e2658898ec87ee22be336fb2d0d3c324dd89fe3e83a675a8de4fa6
513.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:31 P.M.
From: 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0051006be07af13e28b7d9645347564f7e4edd1ade720c7a3739ae7b01de29bb
632.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:29 P.M.
From: 0x000969EAfe64abb852Ee9d9b30A79845a04a97fa
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002800646e68e02fd908b2d0c650766c6a56eb37ca4db8299bfb3ed3e4af35bd
581.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:29 P.M.
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0010005ace335db25a4cc0f0330e80c491c32ed6fbc84fd6e756e112bfa13c70
564.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:29 P.M.
From: 0x00039Cdd80343cF5aa64541Aac146eF3E0b08E1e
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0056001c6636f1548843d3b7c19288c5f48f876307667f8b286c85c751203af3
578.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:29 P.M.
From: 0x00054a786531c76C6FEE8ea225EEA43aEc70643c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d0021376a0e9bd53b229a536e4d4b239c78b80cdd45a7e4e60c4c5b8ff5a6
628.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:10 P.M.
From: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00390029cbceaacb6be67e170e309252f5af6f4e4ae9e88ef49b78955d512868
605.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002600651f4065656556095feb7b8ea87df4b3c0a285f1543002e87a3b8a8878
28.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x006F00B0c00CaF00C2dc04386fcb6aecF3ff6aA5
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x004800144f7e927dc6d3477ca21f6408566336cd2dd5c3eb1661e0ae227e4b82
787.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004d003827d6e129a5d2a7be32a6e2d29e39377a30acb282ebd8f95728198300
769.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x0004f123864664e75601A258793E6b77dcc85c0F
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0054002b77cb3a0d583cbfb965c4ae36924fb91856b763eb6cd66a59af4f0214
600.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x004694c9F48fFFFe91549994967961D4eD82FDe0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a001b6dd1d820eeaa77b0cb0d6470c0a91b962ed212ca6c808fc868ff990e
730.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00340038c279f3dfe99560827d223574816c5c7931575766bc8216751675820f
785.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0075006965b6a45532553cd86b4d8dc7c43086071540d24c22457ad34bdb29cd
763.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x005453C6f1408B5899c20D3fb1b05D89333aBeAE
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e0024ff5c6c69b5592edf45c123874a89a36a015a2ac1e31649280cc1890a
734.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x0005e23a0d044DC3EEa0ed11809545b1022B67c3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b0030da43a7a8595b0c4db3fac4e80c76f0b8cadda95b29a73d8960a4ae00
774.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a0004f0251650e18e3a6e8e51b0c51dacb60dad9c0f142c0179a68cc279e8
716.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/15/2026, 3:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00550026ed1fbe16ecd3933bc0aeaf1ab50c69e1dc90955d44dda0f529b81b17