Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 5:51:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 5:51:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 5:52:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
40% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 391.34
Unexplained QUAI: 580.41
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
727x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
971.75 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00214651b4264464f3d1141dCC890e60a513c5A5 • 0x0031C85E2f1C602Cc20607c9B7e8F0BfDc4b4C09.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 972 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00214651b4264464f3d1141dCC890e60a513c5A5 • 0x0031C85E2f1C602Cc20607c9B7e8F0BfDc4b4C09.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 5:51:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (60% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (40%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00214651b4264464f3d1141dCC890e60a513c5A5
Net sender
Unknown type
390 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0031C85E2f1C602Cc20607c9B7e8F0BfDc4b4C09
Net receiver
Unknown type
390 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
Net sender
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
971.75 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:51:21 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
10,020.52 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:50:20 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:52:21 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
493.69 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:47:47 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
40,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:54:21 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
10,020.75 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:46:47 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate1 tx
51,994.45 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:55:21 P.M.
-7 min
1 tx
10,133.47 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:43:47 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
390 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 5:51:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00214651b4264464f3d1141dCC890e60a513c5A5
To: 0x0031C85E2f1C602Cc20607c9B7e8F0BfDc4b4C09
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 5:51:32 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00510024f70d18df520bcab70f9cae097d3c25279a4fa9e915d2f317a64705a5
390 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 5:51:01 P.M.
From: 0x00214651b4264464f3d1141dCC890e60a513c5A5
To: 0x0031C85E2f1C602Cc20607c9B7e8F0BfDc4b4C09
Tx: 0x00230033ddb5ce91252e606ad203e9c9f103455c6c6a9fabcffa2b5bca35ce05