Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 5:50:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 5:50:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 5:51:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,602.27
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
10x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
10,020.52 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 10021 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 5:50:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
10,503.99 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
10,020.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037Bf8219398b50B230B7dC591e070B2a161909
Net sender
Unknown type
483.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
98.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0067b5f51806E5D56732317DE4F8DD8144a9220c
Net receiver
Unknown type
98.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 10,503.99 QUAI
From exchange: 98.29 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
10,020.52 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:50:20 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
971.75 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:51:21 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
493.69 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:47:47 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:52:21 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
10,020.75 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:46:47 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
40,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:54:21 P.M.
+5 min
Best candidate1 tx
51,994.45 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:55:21 P.M.
-6 min
1 tx
10,133.47 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:43:47 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,020.52 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 5:50:11 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
98.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 5:50:52 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0067b5f51806E5D56732317DE4F8DD8144a9220c
Tx: 0x003b0059201075bc92bbd41609e8ab333791c9d5bb37af5b147157221ad2426c
483.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 5:50:31 P.M.
From: 0x0037Bf8219398b50B230B7dC591e070B2a161909
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0031003495c9e0cae5d28dc3201ff788b549c2291584059a5277f1ee6bdf9aa9
10,020.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 5:50:11 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e002467d7dd15199fdfb5e67608152ca8241ee96de57e9697599742404b35