Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 5:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 5:10:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 5:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 240,032.72
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
4.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
240,032.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0069B6C5C28b2C72D951b3337E96Cd170AD67B73.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 240033 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 66
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0069B6C5C28b2C72D951b3337E96Cd170AD67B73.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 5:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
229,882.35 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0069B6C5C28b2C72D951b3337E96Cd170AD67B73
Net sender
Unknown type
104,577.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
Net sender
Unknown type
94,522.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
30,781.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
10,150.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 229,882.35 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
240,032.72 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:10:56 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
62,395.28 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:07:45 P.M.
+3 min
51 tx
643.13 QUAI • 53 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:12:56 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
20,928.27 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:06:13 P.M.
+4 min
23 tx
792.02 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:14:07 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
30,781.98 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:05:13 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
51,822.63 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:15:19 P.M.
-6 min
1 tx
31,448.19 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 5:04:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
104,577.94 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 5:10:04 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0069B6C5C28b2C72D951b3337E96Cd170AD67B73
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
10,150.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 5:10:04 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x005c00402ffca5030e048c0c8ca7867c184035c1e8f812eaf8b056e33a1572ff
94,522.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 5:10:04 P.M.
From: 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0018000fa4b37ae40ea28be81473f3f7ea19babc8039384282aa01827978e676
104,577.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 5:10:04 P.M.
From: 0x0069B6C5C28b2C72D951b3337E96Cd170AD67B73
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001200310f64c3e9172bce99aea397e3bec4378815540f7c57d3ef955618e7f4
30,781.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 5:10:04 P.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002400029db665678acd88899bcf74b7ca9b7c7cef1e6e9931f6a489f786789c
