Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 4:32:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 4:32:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 4:33:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,781.13
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
1,562.66 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1563 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 4:32:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,562.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,562.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00717AA1DfdA4eED17912DCCaA7C1553AC1F0a0d
Net sender
Unknown type
694.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe
Net receiver
Unknown type
694.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
523.74 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,562.66 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
10,297.73 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:30:41 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
10,297.73 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:30:41 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
1,562.66 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:32:52 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
695 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:29:41 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
1,218.47 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:33:52 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
98.29 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:35:52 P.M.
-7 min
Best candidate1 tx
17,949.4 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:24:41 P.M.
-8 min
5 tx
1,586.08 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:23:41 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,562.66 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:32:42 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
501.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:32:56 P.M.
From: 0x003e34a3389536A2A357F78F98988a043E2Dd907
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0064003466ce1291a2d874e65f4a7be04e72f5651fb8c090feb91f285a622b3f
4.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:32:56 P.M.
From: 0x006de603b1d5c1c9d0042B566d2918DE2becF53B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0047005dd2e5de6a9f33884f72df6d563bcd2a76d151e7f48152687ffad6841d
5.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:32:56 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003c004e3e52e26723b9162dd95288f24362575f3c5ae8afb0ba01c9de3a8838
694.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:32:56 P.M.
From: 0x00717AA1DfdA4eED17912DCCaA7C1553AC1F0a0d
To: 0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe
Tx: 0x00690033aceda5482894f569e2ec8874fb96ea806dac247195184ac4d73756d8
6.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:32:52 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006000434e6db09817a24ee261d7af696e4a1360da3f359c47b900ff5395dac1
5.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:32:52 P.M.
From: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0011007517731f7dd21480947ab32fd8d9aa1158843241e9752c85a75b53953b
1,562.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:32:42 P.M.
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007a0005e1f405a85ae71d1746da6398189e2f4a255b28b37d02a58e6a2eb22e