Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 4:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 4:14:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 4:15:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 310,512.26
Unexplained QUAI: 1,507.66
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
3.6x above local average
255x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
17
94.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
312,019.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002C74A7d1427eB94aD8cF796873bE47C50A699C • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 312020 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 64
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002C74A7d1427eB94aD8cF796873bE47C50A699C • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 4:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002C74A7d1427eB94aD8cF796873bE47C50A699C
Net sender
Unknown type
299,999.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
299,999.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
10,008.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
10,008.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
504.11 QUAI across 15 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 10,008.6 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1,262.83 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:13:41 P.M.
-1 min
50 tx
1,223.27 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:12:42 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate18 tx
312,019.92 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:14:42 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
37,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:15:41 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
10,008.83 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:09:41 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
17,950 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:18:41 P.M.
-6 min
2 tx
300,001.34 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:07:41 P.M.
-7 min
4 tx
22,309.06 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:06:41 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
299,999.54 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:20 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002C74A7d1427eB94aD8cF796873bE47C50A699C
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
17 transactions
10,008.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:38 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e00522e74bdd32af19b1a364f059b9cf48748921a5e825f183e9d3948904e
299,999.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:20 P.M.
From: 0x002C74A7d1427eB94aD8cF796873bE47C50A699C
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x001f000ebdd47a4619da36463ddad189df40d405fd0850ab859b5bb321261af1
6.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:20 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0079d0F0104553d47f0DB40208a7a40f474e5e5A
Tx: 0x005100199f380e66dce8cd56009e4e8b3341321337d28736145d62420956bb4f
23.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:20 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006666a73e4EBA07C9670C1fd50042F5d6BbEC7c
Tx: 0x007e007362aacc7a88734826c67afabc1551e11c1538813272fb83ebfa43938a
6.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:20 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003e21F7B1c0B3B83CeA217DF788fA0642BDF778
Tx: 0x0020001d95435fcd33cce3481bd167f2a4f3e217a0cd24451564a64d226cfc94
141.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:20 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0052000d693559756616b7426cd3a3e9cb61ea2ef0289ba1cc0a1b75d794e751
6.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:20 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006A8e4dbE2F2B780e21C8F03daD9253ca9735c1
Tx: 0x0051005270a484c2a5aab10d4ede7d1e42b911c75d40b58bb40094df0d19748a
4.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:20 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002A53297455ecB6a41311C7d4cfB53deee57fE6
Tx: 0x000c0065917fa0415c97156776a8ffbfcacf0892386cd56fd3c638a6b0bfe632
11.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:20 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000C11662eE5319eFc008367C8C2BD47bFc81584
Tx: 0x004b001713f82c07ee9ef9b4be2ae055ad1078ee8e9bfaef46af4a0dbef3d5c6
28.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:20 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007f445007977f177663c0Dd44a1E6a812329d64
Tx: 0x005f0043f54ae14f8d7e8f661aeab59fdfc78da257c37d885068ae7f63b674ba
21.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:20 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x002b003b60a7c4c98b643129ff1a8553fff83c9a85f18debe169fe88a32f5b9d
5.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:20 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x0054005fed81677443fad0781e20d6eb9fdb7e4748b1c7f15a35f872c1e24bf8
6.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:20 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x007b0030e115e13009b7b7fb1297702e59ea3a39168e5377af2e061df2ba2d48
19.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:20 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x003f0010616afe102450e10ce4222bacb39df92a0d3edd3d9cd2ea3a575d28e7
211.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:20 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0054000cfa7b608bdc2511478a77a159ed1b84c0ccacf897fd71dde0864be459
5.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:20 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Tx: 0x001a004df53766013e1311edbdfa500df86cf91c05fb8ba256cc6131e62e0f20
6.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 4:14:20 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x00190058de9fbccde97ef426b128c03efc9148b8ab20d7bf9055844d4ef13ee1
