Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 3:59:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 3:59:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 4:00:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
28% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,341.66
Unexplained QUAI: 15,966.57
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
22,308.23 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00062f3188e7F668E8CadA86F1080E6Efd5d2c64.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 22308 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00062f3188e7F668E8CadA86F1080E6Efd5d2c64.
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 3:59:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (72% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (28%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
6,335.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00062f3188e7F668E8CadA86F1080E6Efd5d2c64
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,335.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
Net sender
Unknown type
6.34 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
6.34 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 6.34 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 6,335.32 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate5 tx
120,243.13 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:57:41 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
22,308.23 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:59:41 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:00:41 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
1,528.1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:55:41 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
10,003.37 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:01:41 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1.5 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:02:41 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
1,037.57 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 4:03:41 P.M.
-6 min
1 tx
6,335.32 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:52:41 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,335.32 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:59:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00062f3188e7F668E8CadA86F1080E6Efd5d2c64
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:59:39 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x007e007adfc8365e8b953a0ee74b29e4a5bac8c5c1f8247838b8528b32a33cee
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:59:31 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x003b0055b3e5f6c9112587c64c486b3bd7600dc28473fe0c6211d804f1f417c5
6,335.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:59:31 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00062f3188e7F668E8CadA86F1080E6Efd5d2c64
Tx: 0x005100047bfc2f149b0af891675bc4e46bcbb823fa1879b9b11335de0e71a58e