Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 3:51:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 3:51:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 3:52:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
8% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 997
Unexplained QUAI: 11,462.59
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
1
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
12,459.59 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022c1B667e980817159357df9E5496E826bA828 • 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 12460 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022c1B667e980817159357df9E5496E826bA828 • 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 3:51:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0022c1B667e980817159357df9E5496E826bA828
Net sender
Unknown type
997 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
Net receiver
Unknown type
997 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,426.84 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:50:41 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
12,459.59 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:51:41 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
24,134.06 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:48:41 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
6,335.32 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:52:41 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
99,538.3 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:47:41 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
16,562.53 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:46:41 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
200 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:45:41 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
1,528.1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:55:41 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
997 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:51:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0022c1B667e980817159357df9E5496E826bA828
To: 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
997 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:51:23 P.M.
From: 0x0022c1B667e980817159357df9E5496E826bA828
To: 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
Tx: 0x007a001df2f78a97c3ca66f7205116236f3d0eb307db687c399c68d1e679bc4d