Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 3:47:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 3:47:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 3:48:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
8% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,224.57
Unexplained QUAI: 91,313.73
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 79% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
498x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
99,538.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 99538 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 3:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
8,023.23 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Net sender
Unknown type
6,460.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,562.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 8,023.23 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
16,562.53 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:46:41 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
200 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:45:41 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
99,538.3 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:47:41 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
24,134.06 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:48:41 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate4 tx
141,178.45 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:43:41 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
400 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:42:41 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1,426.84 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:50:41 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
15,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:41:41 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,460.47 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:47:49 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
1,562.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:47:49 P.M.
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00480074d3dcc96880d12df1111602c0af0fec1f36ecc8685239ac928e9a08bc
6,460.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:47:49 P.M.
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0063003bff1b39bdc22d0d91532992029ed6e2369ef38938b7b5809918f28d5a
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:47:44 P.M.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x006600050aaee22b585d46d3b4e22bd49844752f608426659fcc67dba681b514
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:47:32 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x005e00187f302c8a217f974c48ca5c2b142c442053e9382bcba1f7d107c06909