Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 3:21:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 99,100.94
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
830x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
92,064.55 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 92065 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
99,100.94 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net sender
Unknown type
50,881.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00690166E86cB4C058712b1fB7A54eFb2e754A76
Net sender
Unknown type
15,304.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
Net sender
Unknown type
13,347.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0047Fa1a7B653918ada6592B804956Ff87E640a4
Net sender
Unknown type
7,400.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 99,100.94 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
110.93 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:19:41 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
92,064.55 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:21:41 P.M.
+2 min
9 tx
28,655.3 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:22:41 P.M.
+3 min
19 tx
64,688.08 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:23:41 P.M.
+4 min
11 tx
11,131.68 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:24:41 P.M.
+5 min
39 tx
26,625.04 QUAI • 40 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:25:52 P.M.
+6 min
Best candidate58 tx
106,671.38 QUAI • 60 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:26:44 P.M.
-7 min
36 tx
1,208.46 QUAI • 38 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:13:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
50,881.09 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:21:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
3,416.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:21:50 P.M.
From: 0x0016C547CE6bcc6AD621292aaFceC8c037a60e69
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000f0067a9230638e2c0151ef17c51c0d5f5232af728a079209747f979d2f0de
4,902.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:21:50 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x004AeC00875BcAc8b246F75a9375B5521f475A85
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0009001483e96bc51d36e84c7a2c4ea6df23519b7053f17cb24c33331256ff49
3,848.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:21:50 P.M.
From: 0x0025A29636671DE5ca3C812cb7bF4f3FB1A8eB7c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004100574af1944f0614277561ff4d0d0a305589f7a2dd7ad95b7e6635f53a68
7,400.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:21:34 P.M.
From: 0x0047Fa1a7B653918ada6592B804956Ff87E640a4
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004900355ae93b3d7e8b2506a01a0c4f43010dd7beb6d49cecdea535cbd2c93b
50,881.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:21:23 P.M.
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00250048d619f2c1b27a64e5307a4d6f7b400a514e0e8ac65e6bfbbd6838d95f
15,304.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:21:23 P.M.
From: 0x00690166E86cB4C058712b1fB7A54eFb2e754A76
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0059005b2712d2a2f101f46cc13bdd3e2ca0d45a10064cebfe6b57b64aba2c74
13,347.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:21:23 P.M.
From: 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c000472aedbbfba47ca4efde87059a50dba1e24e5bdb4b46a02e02ed44b2f
