Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 3:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 3:12:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 3:13:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
6% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,344.38
Unexplained QUAI: 37,669.18
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
58
Observable rows
3
5.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
62
Asset volume
40,013.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 40014 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 3:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (94% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,344.38 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,332.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00497AD4cD26d1CAa0F71B6e3f5E6fFFD858881c
Net sender
Unknown type
6.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
Net sender
Unknown type
5.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
2,674.86 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:11:41 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate58 tx
40,013.56 QUAI • 62 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:12:42 P.M.
+2 min
36 tx
1,208.46 QUAI • 38 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:13:42 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
39,355.75 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:06:41 P.M.
-6 min
1 tx
1,668.68 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:05:41 P.M.
-8 min
4 tx
28,872.48 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:03:41 P.M.
+8 min
1 tx
110.93 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:19:41 P.M.
-10 min
1 tx
54.84 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:01:41 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,332.68 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:12:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
5.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:12:54 P.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006c006a29a6ae4cbd00837eeeeded8d5e2354e5544842d414895ed346556310
6.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:12:54 P.M.
From: 0x00497AD4cD26d1CAa0F71B6e3f5E6fFFD858881c
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001600060d27e5b3b3e2287f154a2cdcc15380d8810e47ee06a640638a53a675
2,332.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:12:31 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Tx: 0x007f00687ddb197cacbc5c2fbc7c07e663599db39106e83c81f0a5f7ca808562