Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 3:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 3:05:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 3:06:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 34,523.19
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
1,668.68 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1669 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 3:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
21,183.79 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
Net receiver
Unknown type
13,080.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net sender
Unknown type
11,670.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00147630D9dBDd4b7A7E4EaE61828f7f2fc0Bd93
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,670.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000498fB8A96673782f90042770aA72DDaf4fB98
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,103.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 21,183.79 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
28,872.48 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:03:41 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
1,668.68 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:05:41 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
39,355.75 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:06:41 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
54.84 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:01:41 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
21,580 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:59:41 P.M.
-7 min
6 tx
12,808.1 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:57:41 P.M.
+7 min
1 tx
2,674.86 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:11:41 P.M.
+8 min
Best candidate58 tx
40,013.56 QUAI • 62 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:12:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
13,080.24 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:05:55 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
13,080.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:05:55 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
Tx: 0x005d0042b755f878fc2e82c9f9d6f369be41d3484cdf3e0dee205eb79c731d60
8,103.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:05:52 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x000498fB8A96673782f90042770aA72DDaf4fB98
Tx: 0x005c005a1cf0fc70412c954d76431ab8f6026539d0f94424b10173074144664b
11,670.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x00147630D9dBDd4b7A7E4EaE61828f7f2fc0Bd93
Tx: 0x00560034cc7a3c79d01b965af96c97492287239c929deb4d0d8d00e6becf2998
1,668.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:05:07 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Tx: 0x007b004cf5dc25f9ec004b17eaddfa5feac21fb494e719a41c870a0f9303d529
