Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 3:02:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 3:02:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 3:03:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 28,872.48
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006626F94fC3f8594687334f1207b2B96C7B9079.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006626F94fC3f8594687334f1207b2B96C7B9079.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 3:02:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
25,274.36 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006626F94fC3f8594687334f1207b2B96C7B9079
Net sender
Unknown type
11,156.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
10,413.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net sender
Unknown type
3,704.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
3,598.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 25,274.36 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
54.84 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:01:41 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
21,580 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:59:41 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
28,872.48 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:03:41 P.M.
-4 min
6 tx
12,808.1 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:57:41 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1,668.68 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:05:41 P.M.
+5 min
Best candidate4 tx
39,355.75 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/14/2026, 3:06:41 P.M.
-6 min
1 tx
500 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:55:41 P.M.
-7 min
1 tx
400 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:54:41 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
11,156.27 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:02:40 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006626F94fC3f8594687334f1207b2B96C7B9079
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
3,598.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:02:40 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x001195110eEF010e08defc2b86069Efb86fb5Cb1
Tx: 0x003b00106d508f1767566eba4b3b0e066a514f2bb7c3263b4d3c5e6304efa77b
11,156.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:02:40 P.M.
From: 0x006626F94fC3f8594687334f1207b2B96C7B9079
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b0017716ada06d745fdb5ae5c3bdcc9c050be9311bb3cb85762f8fb83d15f
10,413.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:02:40 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b003a0ea911bba7012f11d9090e53346d873da2a35e595c88e0a3139cc70d
3,704.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 3:02:40 P.M.
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0041005c8f554f58db59b3b67f26e0c791497ddeadcb67c6bb31af38cff18ada