Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 1:52:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 1:52:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 1:53:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,097.4
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
763x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
2,097.4 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2097 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 1:52:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
1,097.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,097.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 1,097.4 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
2,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 1:51:40 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
2.75 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 1:50:40 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
2,097.4 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 1:52:40 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
14,107.56 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 1:49:40 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate5 tx
29,240.3 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/14/2026, 1:48:40 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
5.14 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 1:54:40 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
8,580 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 1:46:40 P.M.
-6 min
1 tx
14,108 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 1:45:40 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,097.4 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 1:52:07 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 1:52:37 P.M.
From: 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001400649125d282994886285f1fa89efb89a37d0ccadf0ebf0d40d02b6811e2
1,097.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 1:52:07 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
Tx: 0x0045003eb04e5c0fec06689b8d842a8860cc32a2a156684783a3ddc64d3094ca