Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 12:57:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 12:57:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 12:58:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,837.44
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
2,837.44 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2837 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 12:57:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,837.44 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,713.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00711D81334DA6534d026136C1424999703CAf01
Net sender
Unknown type
842.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00794D7995aD6b444E13Aa07C45d67628dd2733c
Net sender
Unknown type
177.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019698000E5b0905Bf0b02F5aaC138627613C36
Net sender
Unknown type
104.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,837.44 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate1 tx
10,089.02 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:55:40 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
2,837.44 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:57:40 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
1,713.54 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:54:39 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
323.21 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:53:39 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
635.21 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:52:40 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
965.43 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:51:39 P.M.
-6 min
2 tx
463.32 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:50:39 P.M.
+6 min
1 tx
10,031.26 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 1:02:39 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,713.32 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:57:37 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
177.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:57:37 P.M.
From: 0x00794D7995aD6b444E13Aa07C45d67628dd2733c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f006e0be620c5fa563b34a92f97982cfef8b70c635d19e59f7928589b40db
842.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:57:37 P.M.
From: 0x00711D81334DA6534d026136C1424999703CAf01
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00310043552107541bd659cb60d7e4622fbc4d268dbb7690c79bc0bdcfdfc03f
1,713.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:57:37 P.M.
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c000b9c4ea9d6fd9635c1691cd351c32a3077c2acaf864437f59e32d38a5f
104.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:57:37 P.M.
From: 0x0019698000E5b0905Bf0b02F5aaC138627613C36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d001a11ef92db00f164703c36dd11e2cd3734b0df6fe7e9cb1ebcb2a95600