Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 12:52:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 12:52:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 12:53:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
85% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 541.61
Unexplained QUAI: 93.6
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
635.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002cbDf67A7B74728F9aC71b3Af3FA52833e419F • 0x0070c0553e0093866EfaC1fA3aC87ff993EE734C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 635 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002cbDf67A7B74728F9aC71b3Af3FA52833e419F • 0x0070c0553e0093866EfaC1fA3aC87ff993EE734C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 12:52:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002cbDf67A7B74728F9aC71b3Af3FA52833e419F
Net sender
Unknown type
541.61 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0070c0553e0093866EfaC1fA3aC87ff993EE734C
Net receiver
Unknown type
323.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00278AF165584712cb818C30FC2a87F564300E48
Net receiver
Unknown type
187.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002B1Ea4c310257BA71ea579c566c50126e59ed8
Net receiver
Unknown type
31.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
965.43 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:51:39 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
463.32 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:50:39 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
635.21 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:52:40 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
1,742.64 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:49:39 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
323.21 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:53:39 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate7 tx
15,077.29 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:48:40 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1,713.54 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:54:39 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
2,123.22 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:47:39 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
323.21 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:52:21 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002cbDf67A7B74728F9aC71b3Af3FA52833e419F
To: 0x0070c0553e0093866EfaC1fA3aC87ff993EE734C
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
31.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:52:58 P.M.
From: 0x002cbDf67A7B74728F9aC71b3Af3FA52833e419F
To: 0x002B1Ea4c310257BA71ea579c566c50126e59ed8
Tx: 0x00630046db6a4bb27dab5f3b9946f9ee682cec2335a236a6bf2d99ec1e254efe
187.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:52:58 P.M.
From: 0x002cbDf67A7B74728F9aC71b3Af3FA52833e419F
To: 0x00278AF165584712cb818C30FC2a87F564300E48
Tx: 0x0027000aacd3975ed5e29a0c377de7d33ae7068bd458befdeae55eac8236ddf5
323.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:52:21 P.M.
From: 0x002cbDf67A7B74728F9aC71b3Af3FA52833e419F
To: 0x0070c0553e0093866EfaC1fA3aC87ff993EE734C
Tx: 0x0001003b4c9acc477960a12ec386530f8d05f6813bcad9b58e94f64fdc37e3c5