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Spike bucket

07/14/2026, 12:47:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/14/2026, 12:47:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 12:48:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,108.76
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
11x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
2,123.22 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2123 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 12:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
13,707.54 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
Net sender
Unknown type
6,481.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003C753721a6Be86e6470eCdFE87452EA6ab6e5B
Net sender
Unknown type
5,345.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002cbDf67A7B74728F9aC71b3Af3FA52833e419F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,965.6 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,703.35 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 13,707.54 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

6,481.42 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:45 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
1,703.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:45 P.M.
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f006ef0f11634f6a05ee79d7f0839d76b4358210bd19213faaa278dd993f8
Open txWallet profile
177.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:45 P.M.
From: 0x0019698000E5b0905Bf0b02F5aaC138627613C36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c00389675ceaf9015ca7c23870141caab70c96daac0f79d42cfde6a149218
Open txWallet profile
5,345.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:45 P.M.
From: 0x003C753721a6Be86e6470eCdFE87452EA6ab6e5B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004b004f32f8e52bf098cfa80a2d4b49ae5d96728648ced1cb08997d61112f81
Open txWallet profile
6,481.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:45 P.M.
From: 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000a0067f0b159d8c5124508e10e4981fecbf5b591ebe64bd2b563ecb727fb21
Open txWallet profile
435.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:45 P.M.
From: 0x007A6a8e18F75DD338A1Ee9915e55dA2E2DBcDEA
To: 0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe
Tx: 0x000e0024a313f1a8cde3105eada94413e26a1c8e176a5bf5ca46914573762aad
Open txWallet profile
280.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:35 P.M.
From: 0x002cbDf67A7B74728F9aC71b3Af3FA52833e419F
To: 0x0073232A60a0b7CBf19a5B03fD781910BDfA8a31
Tx: 0x000d0018e3979a414ec37486263a269ce7ddb5b37569ee5c7b8c94ef971b9e95
1,497.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:35 P.M.
From: 0x002cbDf67A7B74728F9aC71b3Af3FA52833e419F
To: 0x007510d6dea760619FB7A497d8C067f45402c57A
Tx: 0x006600056554964c170dfe61e65facd4429a9dca64e54094551348fb76381257
187.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:13 P.M.
From: 0x002cbDf67A7B74728F9aC71b3Af3FA52833e419F
To: 0x001BD65d9feFAb8357fAa27b367B0Dd57DA08FD0
Tx: 0x0062000319744d4bc7ee7999cd391eaf9da8d07373fbe0c445bb7b2f7b452cd8