Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 12:47:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 12:47:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 12:48:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,108.76
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
11x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
2,123.22 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2123 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 12:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
13,707.54 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
Net sender
Unknown type
6,481.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003C753721a6Be86e6470eCdFE87452EA6ab6e5B
Net sender
Unknown type
5,345.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002cbDf67A7B74728F9aC71b3Af3FA52833e419F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,965.6 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,703.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 13,707.54 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
6,132.63 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:46:40 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
187.2 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:45:39 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
2,123.22 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:47:39 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate7 tx
15,077.29 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:48:40 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
2,139.57 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:43:39 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
1,742.64 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:49:39 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
150 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:42:39 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
463.32 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:50:39 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,481.42 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:45 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
1,703.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:45 P.M.
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f006ef0f11634f6a05ee79d7f0839d76b4358210bd19213faaa278dd993f8
177.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:45 P.M.
From: 0x0019698000E5b0905Bf0b02F5aaC138627613C36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c00389675ceaf9015ca7c23870141caab70c96daac0f79d42cfde6a149218
5,345.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:45 P.M.
From: 0x003C753721a6Be86e6470eCdFE87452EA6ab6e5B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004b004f32f8e52bf098cfa80a2d4b49ae5d96728648ced1cb08997d61112f81
6,481.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:45 P.M.
From: 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000a0067f0b159d8c5124508e10e4981fecbf5b591ebe64bd2b563ecb727fb21
435.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:45 P.M.
From: 0x007A6a8e18F75DD338A1Ee9915e55dA2E2DBcDEA
To: 0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe
Tx: 0x000e0024a313f1a8cde3105eada94413e26a1c8e176a5bf5ca46914573762aad
280.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:35 P.M.
From: 0x002cbDf67A7B74728F9aC71b3Af3FA52833e419F
To: 0x0073232A60a0b7CBf19a5B03fD781910BDfA8a31
Tx: 0x000d0018e3979a414ec37486263a269ce7ddb5b37569ee5c7b8c94ef971b9e95
1,497.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:35 P.M.
From: 0x002cbDf67A7B74728F9aC71b3Af3FA52833e419F
To: 0x007510d6dea760619FB7A497d8C067f45402c57A
Tx: 0x006600056554964c170dfe61e65facd4429a9dca64e54094551348fb76381257
187.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:47:13 P.M.
From: 0x002cbDf67A7B74728F9aC71b3Af3FA52833e419F
To: 0x001BD65d9feFAb8357fAa27b367B0Dd57DA08FD0
Tx: 0x0062000319744d4bc7ee7999cd391eaf9da8d07373fbe0c445bb7b2f7b452cd8
