Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 12:43:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 12:43:00 P.M. to 07/14/2026, 12:44:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
20% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 436
Unexplained QUAI: 1,703.57
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
1
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
2,139.57 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e53819c43B1A2F0B515546c2A6e31C1DD2d98 • 0x007A6a8e18F75DD338A1Ee9915e55dA2E2DBcDEA.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 2140 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e53819c43B1A2F0B515546c2A6e31C1DD2d98 • 0x007A6a8e18F75DD338A1Ee9915e55dA2E2DBcDEA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 12:43:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (80% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (20%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007e53819c43B1A2F0B515546c2A6e31C1DD2d98
Net sender
Unknown type
436 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007A6a8e18F75DD338A1Ee9915e55dA2E2DBcDEA
Net receiver
Unknown type
436 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
150 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:42:39 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
6,481.63 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:41:39 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
2,139.57 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:43:39 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
2,586.91 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:39:39 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
187.2 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:45:39 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,547.82 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:38:39 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
6,132.63 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:46:40 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate1 tx
3,999,996 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:37:39 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
436 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:43:25 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007e53819c43B1A2F0B515546c2A6e31C1DD2d98
To: 0x007A6a8e18F75DD338A1Ee9915e55dA2E2DBcDEA
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
436 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:43:25 P.M.
From: 0x007e53819c43B1A2F0B515546c2A6e31C1DD2d98
To: 0x007A6a8e18F75DD338A1Ee9915e55dA2E2DBcDEA
Tx: 0x0035000a9907d5a80c40bee8a8cd3bce284433d42e633963527a68f35a5439bf
