Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 10:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 10:18:00 A.M. to 07/14/2026, 10:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,027.59
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
19x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
2,027.59 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2028 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 10:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,026.64 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
950.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00541EB654c3A18058F0F55315E4724be03Cf344
Net sender
Unknown type
745.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
117.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00155b6eA28CFE8DB1374c39e0ec92c57d03eF25
Net sender
Unknown type
107.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,026.64 QUAI
From exchange: 0.95 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
104.76 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 10:16:38 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
2,027.59 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/14/2026, 10:18:38 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
13.69 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 10:13:38 A.M.
-5 min
33 tx
3,315.6 QUAI • 35 addresses
07/14/2026, 10:12:38 A.M.
-6 min
3 tx
1,375.92 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 10:11:38 A.M.
-7 min
51 tx
1,006.89 QUAI • 53 addresses
07/14/2026, 10:10:38 A.M.
+9 min
1 tx
0.95 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 10:26:38 A.M.
-11 min
Best candidate1 tx
172,999.58 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 10:06:38 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
950.17 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 10:18:03 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
0.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 10:18:18 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x2E438095C9828D87434fDe8B4F636fB999CE06b4
Tx: 0x000e0029998a25c93beebdb1463dce9ac93f3f37f9090b64e938e11a49db7c0d
107.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 10:18:03 A.M.
From: 0x00155b6eA28CFE8DB1374c39e0ec92c57d03eF25
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a00647cb0b57b5d4e43c2e4e11229989401c567bf39d18f0e87625516d36f
105.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 10:18:03 A.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d0068d46d2d9ef6bd7763adef118afb7681d876b5ed57429c47a8ff0534de
950.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 10:18:03 A.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0007004c3a11018476dfd8448e6f61ea7aa71c91b5103c07f02fb111d61d767e
117.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 10:18:03 A.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e0028f5f3aa52576b5d35b91f10473e7b8615467824099ba9c7330f5ed519
745.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 10:18:03 A.M.
From: 0x00541EB654c3A18058F0F55315E4724be03Cf344
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0023002572ae611baf0041a38a06085daedbdc6e1105184853c6bde192458963