Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 9:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 9:45:00 A.M. to 07/14/2026, 9:46:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,404.96
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003F5862209077dB244788DD24F1CdA25B7e36fe.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003F5862209077dB244788DD24F1CdA25B7e36fe.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 9:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
21,404.96 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003F5862209077dB244788DD24F1CdA25B7e36fe
Net sender
Unknown type
11,132.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
10,272.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 21,404.96 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
21,404.96 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/14/2026, 9:46:37 A.M.
-6 min
2 tx
14,699.81 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 9:38:37 A.M.
-7 min
1 tx
11,854.58 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 9:37:37 A.M.
+7 min
1 tx
1,747 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 9:51:38 A.M.
-8 min
1 tx
11,142 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 9:36:37 A.M.
+9 min
1 tx
2.52 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 9:53:38 A.M.
-11 min
1 tx
4.65 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 9:33:37 A.M.
+11 min
1 tx
8,050.01 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 9:55:37 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
11,132.29 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 9:45:37 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003F5862209077dB244788DD24F1CdA25B7e36fe
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
10,272.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 9:45:37 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00370072b120c4514e5c9b0120615b77e89b2ba934bdabaad61fd657e4660598
11,132.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 9:45:37 A.M.
From: 0x003F5862209077dB244788DD24F1CdA25B7e36fe
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00340065f4f82dbc9ab654019b892b1287f8b5185138ca91423595b5b8f870d9