Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 2:19:00 A.M. to 07/14/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
38% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 688.87
Unexplained QUAI: 1,117.2
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
2.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
1,806.07 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x001096e35a37Fd361939604Fb26b027047aA16c3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1806 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x001096e35a37Fd361939604Fb26b027047aA16c3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (62% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (38%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
477.49 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x001096e35a37Fd361939604Fb26b027047aA16c3
Net receiver
Unknown type
378.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
201.38 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x001D178A66d7EbC378401ea4a3d37B0ec6AC4CEf
Net receiver
Unknown type
69.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002123822642C46D03FA1D56B4E2E3a27DDc99Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
64.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
4,289.35 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:18:31 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
675.73 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:17:31 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
1,806.07 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:19:32 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
718.76 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:16:31 A.M.
+2 min
11 tx
3,432.99 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:20:32 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
463.68 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:15:31 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
2,940.22 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:21:31 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate8 tx
4,528.31 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:14:31 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
378.24 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:19:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001096e35a37Fd361939604Fb26b027047aA16c3
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
31.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:19:46 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00134E3afb5aE95c996da58F30fa0e344E6b8da9
Tx: 0x004e0072c18770bc517518a98ba409bfbded6c4ea419388b99c73e3fdd01e039
45.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:19:46 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00228838f4165323A8b6fB12E1F1ACd2bE445c4A
Tx: 0x00390067f9b7ae545e5f8500fe6a277ccd46fca0cad3d67d7d3bf8992bc80867
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:19:46 A.M.
From: 0x00507F53063EAB1e24B804F9324797c16ed03c58
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0075000b66a37f0af40ee92932e218c3f5dee5cf27af3ba4a37721b3212929e0
28.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:19:39 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00127A50C75208b0FBf427c584e7351D530d6A89
Tx: 0x00120018b75f47976f9584378d03b25a4a8af2dd02433693ab5fd13df36ede8d
64.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:19:39 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002123822642C46D03FA1D56B4E2E3a27DDc99Ab
Tx: 0x0022005d7a486a40c679d9040276ba5bf3a1523e77b45eab12920c6d15779281
21.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:19:27 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00203E8C13F85294BA9AeB1b4B342Af15b903A2c
Tx: 0x000d001dee5c68f829a25fabce9c0c95043cdf47db9b4fbde1f42cab0345c779
39.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:19:27 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0011ccC70B0dE544BB879AF322d7d67CF6bFA56f
Tx: 0x0039000f2733bd69c57f6f05df9d62958936a03c2098be7bed25094485ea31dd
378.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:19:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001096e35a37Fd361939604Fb26b027047aA16c3
Tx: 0x007400799da030981e00a08e22b4c29097ab90c91306829b8ae70da1ab782738
69.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:19:15 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001D178A66d7EbC378401ea4a3d37B0ec6AC4CEf
Tx: 0x004100526192b98ee4421dc9c40f1b38eb38df600dfae210759a00ae0f27ea01