Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 2:18:00 A.M. to 07/14/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
62% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,647.63
Unexplained QUAI: 1,641.72
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
6.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
4,289.35 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4289 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (38% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,377.44 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,293.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Net receiver
Unknown type
986.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
270.19 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x001959127B1297f6bE9BD34a157Bb060aC7964D2
Net receiver
Unknown type
136.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
675.73 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:17:31 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
718.76 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:16:31 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
4,289.35 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:18:31 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
463.68 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:15:31 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
1,806.07 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:19:32 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
4,528.31 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:14:31 A.M.
+3 min
11 tx
3,432.99 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:20:32 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate8 tx
10,823.15 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:13:31 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,293.35 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:18:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
986.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:18:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x0063005d96cc3769fa605ab4159af775a2f219915b02b21b17be2bc4a02efb2b
77.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:18:54 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
Tx: 0x00650030b31ae54001d1a706940a57cb0778744f94ce6c271de6519012422adc
136.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:18:31 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001959127B1297f6bE9BD34a157Bb060aC7964D2
Tx: 0x000a006aadd358af41cae3af7afe7e141bb0bf36440a0212a58adaa018367205
97.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:18:31 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000eF006491B582d7efA50D60Cf8B2A41ef4b4F1
Tx: 0x002e006231443c496524e8cb04ca10b2cb9c9ac01c4db934db4b5c0938c4de37
57.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:18:17 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001893cb15B0bC475a3D3736809902c8aF360fC6
Tx: 0x00520045f9ed888a3f5571e1d0876ce1e4ea59f196740316ef4c1eb09db33156
1,293.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:18:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Tx: 0x00790030be0b7c92f115d97daaaff2b1ac97c0722b6de04e9d4e164f553367c8
