Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 2:16:00 A.M. to 07/14/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
68% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 490.44
Unexplained QUAI: 228.32
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 83% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
718.76 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 719 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (32% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
409.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026
Net receiver
Unknown type
409.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
71.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00145a822Fe2A0fc1B3C2E13286e83B517DBbF5b
Net receiver
Unknown type
71.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00598B740cDc6B2A9A20E2e7Bc29947d4f81BAeA
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
463.68 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:15:31 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
4,528.31 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:14:31 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
718.76 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:16:31 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
10,823.15 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:13:31 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
675.73 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:17:31 A.M.
-3 min
43 tx
15,443.95 QUAI • 47 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:12:32 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
4,289.35 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:18:31 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate59 tx
22,649.88 QUAI • 63 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:11:32 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
409.09 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:16:32 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
71.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:16:32 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00145a822Fe2A0fc1B3C2E13286e83B517DBbF5b
Tx: 0x005c0029bae080490b4d9b68149313c2089b9833f3270dbad6a9c651f6ddc3d4
409.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:16:32 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026
Tx: 0x0035004b9819cebd02326ea558f59218786deabdc7ef9ef6d7459a80feac3763
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:16:32 A.M.
From: 0x00598B740cDc6B2A9A20E2e7Bc29947d4f81BAeA
To: 0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0
Tx: 0x00010043ba9e08818fe05abf5dffcb7af635949d925739b2382a1879b1bc5769