Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 2:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 2:14:00 A.M. to 07/14/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
70% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,181.93
Unexplained QUAI: 1,346.38
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 92% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
6
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
4,528.31 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 4528 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 2:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (30% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,003.95 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,935.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
177.97 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Net receiver
Unknown type
85.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000f793D7F6E29b46c41843417F56125F0c1c6be
Net receiver
Unknown type
56.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
10,823.15 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:13:31 A.M.
-1 min
43 tx
15,443.95 QUAI • 47 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:12:32 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
4,528.31 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:14:31 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate59 tx
22,649.88 QUAI • 63 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:11:32 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
463.68 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:15:31 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
1,242.56 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:10:31 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
718.76 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:16:31 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
112.5 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:09:31 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,935.36 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:14:10 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
35.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:14:54 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0012a08F3940cDf38303C6AEBb1cE2D62a777E49
Tx: 0x006f001b266356ad08cce870456e91090dde8f02a590451e281a140a88380c79
37.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:14:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00093927C3b636753EBb6F2cB96B8285e61e06b1
Tx: 0x006f0007cd104a9ee16e491cf5b2d396466e51f2e24ea796749e0c0d458e84c8
85.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:14:17 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x0079005a90b91f8353fca77a4f52f63ff9a903c90ab5f0f2a3f6427d7058855d
31.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:14:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000929fE73895409055ee0dd4e301fc9DD72C5eE
Tx: 0x00480034c92d25d54b938f1362128d9e1001712a520517b78902962327a2975f
56.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:14:10 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000f793D7F6E29b46c41843417F56125F0c1c6be
Tx: 0x0003002c5a81e2443d15df83bdba06713cf2c423a04f82fef88c0aa38e518c64
2,935.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:14:10 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d
Tx: 0x0017005fb378238806ff11ea03e31f05583afefc2351056d59e738cc824c155f
