Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 2:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 2:06:00 A.M. to 07/14/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,366.5
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
4.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
2,766.5 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002CEdB38C88282C27f41fe04BED4741D1258568 • 0x003CB9F12D598d993D46242d2fB0bA9b70846B3F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2767 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002CEdB38C88282C27f41fe04BED4741D1258568 • 0x003CB9F12D598d993D46242d2fB0bA9b70846B3F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 2:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002CEdB38C88282C27f41fe04BED4741D1258568
Net sender
Unknown type
2,129 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003CB9F12D598d993D46242d2fB0bA9b70846B3F
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,129 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0016dCc0CC32BceA1dC0287De5d4cEBA0E1F0CB7
Net sender
Unknown type
750 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002DeB0c93CF5eE7Ac5Aa1F55F24037220E7Db0E
Net sender
Unknown type
487.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00494614DDF33a4eaA05b8dB195ae4A9E29da28d
Net receiver
Unknown type
487.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
190.3 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:05:31 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
562.5 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:04:31 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
2,766.5 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:06:31 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
918.09 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:03:31 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
881.25 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:07:31 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
598.58 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:02:31 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
226.87 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:08:31 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
525 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:01:31 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,129 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:06:03 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002CEdB38C88282C27f41fe04BED4741D1258568
To: 0x003CB9F12D598d993D46242d2fB0bA9b70846B3F
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
375 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:06:42 A.M.
From: 0x0016dCc0CC32BceA1dC0287De5d4cEBA0E1F0CB7
To: 0x0012bF372666770944507496d9680E1ee3F0f656
Tx: 0x0002006b6941b212c797f7b2840f328ffb17f511e83ee91c837483b3abbfc3a9
375 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:06:42 A.M.
From: 0x0016dCc0CC32BceA1dC0287De5d4cEBA0E1F0CB7
To: 0x004b4bD4677aCf981a61DcbdD2ED8eCBC9468C28
Tx: 0x004a0075810ef7c04640aab544c16b94e3b3b63f5b77e5ab469756075e35b35e
2,129 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:06:03 A.M.
From: 0x002CEdB38C88282C27f41fe04BED4741D1258568
To: 0x003CB9F12D598d993D46242d2fB0bA9b70846B3F
Tx: 0x000b0020249ddb025d492ea47b11dbe195ab4d9085969548e8c2e209824277ca
487.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:06:03 A.M.
From: 0x002DeB0c93CF5eE7Ac5Aa1F55F24037220E7Db0E
To: 0x00494614DDF33a4eaA05b8dB195ae4A9E29da28d
Tx: 0x006c004ee942e1c4ea7f1c7afa7261086a972c9df27e037a49e16250954d7e35