Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 2:03:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 2:03:00 A.M. to 07/14/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
41% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 375
Unexplained QUAI: 543.09
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
1.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
918.09 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002DeB0c93CF5eE7Ac5Aa1F55F24037220E7Db0E • 0x000a405f1Ea6Aa8C994b71D622F69a1BfD07e25D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 918 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002DeB0c93CF5eE7Ac5Aa1F55F24037220E7Db0E • 0x000a405f1Ea6Aa8C994b71D622F69a1BfD07e25D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 2:03:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (59% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (41%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002DeB0c93CF5eE7Ac5Aa1F55F24037220E7Db0E
Net sender
Unknown type
375 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000a405f1Ea6Aa8C994b71D622F69a1BfD07e25D
Net receiver
Unknown type
187.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00777C1fCefaA99DA5e751A2ca0bec37215e0b94
Net receiver
Unknown type
187.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
598.58 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:02:31 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
525 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:01:31 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
918.09 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:03:31 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
562.5 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:00:31 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
562.5 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:04:31 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
208.25 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 1:59:31 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
190.3 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:05:31 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
881.25 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/14/2026, 1:58:31 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
187.5 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:03:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002DeB0c93CF5eE7Ac5Aa1F55F24037220E7Db0E
To: 0x000a405f1Ea6Aa8C994b71D622F69a1BfD07e25D
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
187.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:03:33 A.M.
From: 0x002DeB0c93CF5eE7Ac5Aa1F55F24037220E7Db0E
To: 0x000a405f1Ea6Aa8C994b71D622F69a1BfD07e25D
Tx: 0x001c001c347f57117c8a9e29dcecc62971f21093ad0210328786f321586a6b3e
187.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:03:12 A.M.
From: 0x002DeB0c93CF5eE7Ac5Aa1F55F24037220E7Db0E
To: 0x00777C1fCefaA99DA5e751A2ca0bec37215e0b94
Tx: 0x0072007d8e680ddcfbeddf4a443d4b5f924b1ef8ff5378bf7dde2da17fcb4784