Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 2:02:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 2:02:00 A.M. to 07/14/2026, 2:03:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 954.17
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
598.58 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002DeB0c93CF5eE7Ac5Aa1F55F24037220E7Db0E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 599 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002DeB0c93CF5eE7Ac5Aa1F55F24037220E7Db0E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 2:02:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
543.09 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002DeB0c93CF5eE7Ac5Aa1F55F24037220E7Db0E
Net sender
Unknown type
375 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001C2BB1b23938bA20eE43D2b352bd7AF2BBF008
Net sender
Unknown type
365.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0014cBb0A4A3FEb21419b8056eBF71B30Eaeaf49
Net receiver
Unknown type
187.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072e2CDb296f7dC7a2DCe3Eb7F06Ff6F92c4ee4
Net receiver
Unknown type
187.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 543.09 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
525 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:01:31 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
562.5 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:00:31 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
598.58 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:02:31 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
208.25 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 1:59:31 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate4 tx
918.09 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:03:31 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
881.25 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/14/2026, 1:58:31 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
562.5 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/14/2026, 2:04:31 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
255.04 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 1:57:31 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
365.3 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:02:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001C2BB1b23938bA20eE43D2b352bd7AF2BBF008
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
187.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:02:38 A.M.
From: 0x002DeB0c93CF5eE7Ac5Aa1F55F24037220E7Db0E
To: 0x0014cBb0A4A3FEb21419b8056eBF71B30Eaeaf49
Tx: 0x007900648fe609420042a828ae3f1254b792cd07e198e2c617799affa99cfaf3
365.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:02:38 A.M.
From: 0x001C2BB1b23938bA20eE43D2b352bd7AF2BBF008
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d005cbe1c56f374e239798ef59b9f14bc70f401cd8569d6d55a89d46041ad
177.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:02:38 A.M.
From: 0x005AAFc58859024116aAa538495BcFA8bf8d7012
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00760023f58983fa8e92f6fa3b50ec9aa05d130c9a5d478ac373584bd5953168
187.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:02:14 A.M.
From: 0x002DeB0c93CF5eE7Ac5Aa1F55F24037220E7Db0E
To: 0x0072e2CDb296f7dC7a2DCe3Eb7F06Ff6F92c4ee4
Tx: 0x003b0014833642c4478b583483700f6810b9ba6d3242ecc3def0bdbbb614cbcb
36.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 2:02:14 A.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x003b5e7E138128F62455234813e3f7D8e0FE75cD
Tx: 0x0028007c3c95ba7bf192034f83836c0c2b055350605f459ab2fa832342122001