Spike bucket
07/14/2026, 12:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/14/2026, 12:11:00 A.M. to 07/14/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
29% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 212.65
Unexplained QUAI: 520.28
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
50
Observable rows
3
6.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
51
Asset volume
732.93 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 733 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/14/2026, 12:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (71% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (29%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
209.71 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
Net sender
Unknown type
105.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
Net sender
Unknown type
104.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
2.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 209.71 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
50 tx
732.93 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:11:30 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate39 tx
1,601.75 QUAI • 42 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:12:30 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1,042.12 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:13:30 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
88.61 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:06:30 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
200 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:14:30 A.M.
+6 min
1 tx
106.25 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:16:30 A.M.
+9 min
1 tx
5 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:19:30 A.M.
+11 min
5 tx
533.51 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/14/2026, 12:21:30 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
105.01 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:11:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
104.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:11:53 A.M.
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0007000014ea9836f13c24ed653f4af7ca1f1e4aaecd718e540af78257e44a98
105.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:11:53 A.M.
From: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00760062c834a79b9a846b16f9e6ef727dac944b4ba1ef7ed8c155dadbd5b4fb
2.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/14/2026, 12:11:53 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x0014006fcef6176f9f592afa7ae39e0f46e124ad041ee7374de65b5a2205c7fa