Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 8:17:00 P.M. to 07/13/2026, 8:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11,801.2
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
11,801.2 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
8,046.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
Net sender
Unknown type
3,437.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004C3fD1B05B51517F05046e02c9556326E9b611
Net sender
Unknown type
108.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Net sender
Unknown type
106.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 11,801.2 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
5 tx
11,801.2 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/13/2026, 8:18:23 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
10,003.33 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/13/2026, 8:13:23 P.M.
-6 min
25 tx
1,308.21 QUAI • 27 addresses
07/13/2026, 8:11:24 P.M.
-8 min
Best candidate52 tx
12,011.43 QUAI • 55 addresses
07/13/2026, 8:09:24 P.M.
+9 min
1 tx
283.61 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 8:26:23 P.M.
+11 min
1 tx
280.91 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 8:28:23 P.M.
-14 min
1 tx
8,047.45 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 8:03:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,046.46 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 8:17:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
102.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 8:17:31 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003d0022afc42ea3d6df30a2578787614493a9bdd0b5d0949b13c71eeaeeae3b
3,437.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 8:17:31 P.M.
From: 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004500381300be290468d5abf56e21d814abd26c20ebfb3c525cde25801d6a62
106.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 8:17:31 P.M.
From: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a007954898221aa178e0a044bd5596bccab9a735a00a48a60dbbdc6577ba0
8,046.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 8:17:31 P.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f001a6b506e3e824ed84879b0f019e5cc6f968eba2d163c07a8b07797472f
108.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 8:17:31 P.M.
From: 0x004C3fD1B05B51517F05046e02c9556326E9b611
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00640046c60c7397cfe239bca695cfda953e306498ecba7239407ce0290caab7