Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 7:43:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 7:43:00 P.M. to 07/13/2026, 7:44:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 78.93
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x previous minute
0.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
32.16 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002301cEe1E6bc5F1BbEDFFc03E77FB221AFacdA • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 32 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002301cEe1E6bc5F1BbEDFFc03E77FB221AFacdA • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 7:43:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002301cEe1E6bc5F1BbEDFFc03E77FB221AFacdA
Net sender
Unknown type
46.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
46.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
32.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b5e7E138128F62455234813e3f7D8e0FE75cD
Net receiver
Unknown type
32.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
32.16 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:43:23 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
32.16 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:42:23 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
46.77 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:44:23 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
8,047.98 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:41:23 P.M.
+10 min
Best candidate1 tx
11,265.38 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:53:23 P.M.
-13 min
1 tx
998 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:30:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
46.77 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 7:43:33 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002301cEe1E6bc5F1BbEDFFc03E77FB221AFacdA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
46.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 7:43:33 P.M.
From: 0x002301cEe1E6bc5F1BbEDFFc03E77FB221AFacdA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006d0045d78632477e0ec4178966ca6fb99b7234bcbbe6945bd62b7fa0686971
32.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 7:43:09 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x003b5e7E138128F62455234813e3f7D8e0FE75cD
Tx: 0x004e006c7b0ae396506ce7ca5cfba6ae2ea923dd2a370e5daff406ed6c53b9f7