Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 7:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 7:21:00 P.M. to 07/13/2026, 7:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
90% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 106.36
Unexplained QUAI: 11.48
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
2.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
117.83 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4 • 0x004726944445C3423039Bf140f69bEa7e6aaD442.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 118 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4 • 0x004726944445C3423039Bf140f69bEa7e6aaD442.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 7:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
Net sender
Unknown type
96.36 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004726944445C3423039Bf140f69bEa7e6aaD442
Net receiver
Unknown type
49.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002301cEe1E6bc5F1BbEDFFc03E77FB221AFacdA
Net receiver
Unknown type
47.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0029E24Fe5e6c022c9854402D15780e593703BbD
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
117.83 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:21:23 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
47.29 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:22:24 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
20,150.95 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:24:23 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
210.57 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:25:23 P.M.
-6 min
Best candidate4 tx
20,175.5 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:15:16 P.M.
+6 min
1 tx
11,269.37 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:27:23 P.M.
-8 min
3 tx
15.03 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:13:16 P.M.
+9 min
1 tx
998 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:30:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
49.07 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 7:21:09 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x004726944445C3423039Bf140f69bEa7e6aaD442
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
47.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 7:21:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x002301cEe1E6bc5F1BbEDFFc03E77FB221AFacdA
Tx: 0x0041004d84bb9352e8972d16451aaf8ba3989694ea489e4a28c2df5708d7c077
49.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 7:21:09 P.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x004726944445C3423039Bf140f69bEa7e6aaD442
Tx: 0x00410049549f6f2f0610fbebe7f28d69377b95cbd1b2c3e4ba473d95fc429de1
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 7:21:09 P.M.
From: 0x0029E24Fe5e6c022c9854402D15780e593703BbD
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0033006be767657f6ba463ed9a69996a137eacc9c29635efab152f74278cf8c3
