Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 7:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 7:05:00 P.M. to 07/13/2026, 7:06:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
70% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 192.5
Unexplained QUAI: 81.63
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
1
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
274.12 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0051EAbC7875A0fa4c8e9d5B544DE8501B8bd0d8 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 274 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0051EAbC7875A0fa4c8e9d5B544DE8501B8bd0d8 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 7:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (30% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0051EAbC7875A0fa4c8e9d5B544DE8501B8bd0d8
Net sender
Unknown type
192.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
192.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 192.5 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
274.12 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:05:16 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
192.5 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:06:16 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
559.66 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:03:16 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
17,551.87 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:07:16 P.M.
+4 min
50 tx
526.92 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:09:17 P.M.
+6 min
27 tx
1,347.93 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:11:17 P.M.
-7 min
1 tx
285.39 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 6:58:07 P.M.
+8 min
3 tx
15.03 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/13/2026, 7:13:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
192.5 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 7:05:27 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0051EAbC7875A0fa4c8e9d5B544DE8501B8bd0d8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
192.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 7:05:27 P.M.
From: 0x0051EAbC7875A0fa4c8e9d5B544DE8501B8bd0d8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001200418177953934e05e03c79265c0ae71f1dfce25645afe15750c81673dc9
