Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 6:47:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 6:47:00 P.M. to 07/13/2026, 6:48:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,857.16
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 6:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
5,563.38 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
Net sender
Unknown type
3,296.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b4Bc4Ec5ADE7673dba21e99A8F5AC2ecCD798
Net sender
Unknown type
2,267.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
293.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD
Net receiver
Unknown type
293.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 5,563.38 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
3 tx
5,857.16 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/13/2026, 6:47:53 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
294.64 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 6:50:07 P.M.
+5 min
2 tx
570.94 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 6:52:07 P.M.
+6 min
6 tx
3,936.69 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/13/2026, 6:53:08 P.M.
-9 min
Best candidate4 tx
9,265.85 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/13/2026, 6:38:05 P.M.
+9 min
3 tx
490.95 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/13/2026, 6:56:07 P.M.
+11 min
1 tx
285.39 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 6:58:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,296.33 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 6:47:47 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2,267.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 6:47:47 P.M.
From: 0x003b4Bc4Ec5ADE7673dba21e99A8F5AC2ecCD798
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0041002edb13587aad2dfb393c1b274d8d5c4c2eb1ffbf96d81f78e0e036fc75
3,296.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 6:47:47 P.M.
From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002f00201aa86e1e82a71bdd45c055bf7a89df6a9109cb0deb649618b753f3ae
293.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 6:47:47 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD
Tx: 0x004200489fbf0b61c23a8025ecf29cab4817ee5d91c7eda5f75d7a782fe749aa