Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 5:31:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 5:31:00 P.M. to 07/13/2026, 5:32:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 23,820.55
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002876547d3aEf8445cE9b1C3DE961D4db9fdBf1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002876547d3aEf8445cE9b1C3DE961D4db9fdBf1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 5:31:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
12,220.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002876547d3aEf8445cE9b1C3DE961D4db9fdBf1
Net receiver
Unknown type
12,220.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005EAf3705c3b970e8275e027Ea343856a562C73
Net sender
Unknown type
11,600 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f750a50051d7c5c8108D6A8d58574d3F7d3C
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,600 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 12,220.55 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
12,220.55 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 5:31:27 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
11,600 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 5:32:39 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
36.83 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/13/2026, 5:33:39 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
52 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 5:25:51 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
56 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 5:26:17 P.M.
-6 min
1 tx
191.39 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 5:24:51 P.M.
+6 min
1 tx
11,599.78 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 5:36:39 P.M.
+6 min
Best candidate1 tx
19,760.95 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 5:36:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
12,220.55 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 5:31:14 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002876547d3aEf8445cE9b1C3DE961D4db9fdBf1
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
11,600 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 5:31:32 P.M.
From: 0x005EAf3705c3b970e8275e027Ea343856a562C73
To: 0x0045f750a50051d7c5c8108D6A8d58574d3F7d3C
Tx: 0x00670057edcde0e64b78564f85316f1788c7413bb4a9bfd49afb9621e7b0de3f
12,220.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 5:31:14 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002876547d3aEf8445cE9b1C3DE961D4db9fdBf1
Tx: 0x003b005306d46000288a6ca8eca9835653a8c5686aa29777cb66e90af8012e09