Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 3:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 3:38:00 P.M. to 07/13/2026, 3:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,486.5
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 3:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
980.71 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net sender
Unknown type
569.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
503 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00031B3bAB81Dc2CE40AE7aF79111d8CC0Dac55E
Net receiver
Unknown type
503 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
411.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 980.71 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+2 min
4 tx
1,486.5 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/13/2026, 3:39:53 P.M.
-4 min
10 tx
3,923.6 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/13/2026, 3:33:53 P.M.
+5 min
3 tx
3,359.02 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/13/2026, 3:42:53 P.M.
-8 min
1 tx
590.28 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 3:29:53 P.M.
+8 min
1 tx
2.78 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 3:45:53 P.M.
-9 min
1 tx
4,999.56 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 3:28:53 P.M.
-10 min
Best candidate2 tx
15,011.69 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/13/2026, 3:27:54 P.M.
-12 min
17 tx
12,192.45 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/13/2026, 3:25:53 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
569.16 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 3:38:58 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
411.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 3:38:58 P.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006800753f6120206539af8067307e83655ddda6f03697890c1928e43c08b22f
569.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 3:38:58 P.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0043003da0d4666f9bf79f9973568ce8fe4d4dab2c70d560eab75270ff47cb75
503 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 3:38:58 P.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x00031B3bAB81Dc2CE40AE7aF79111d8CC0Dac55E
Tx: 0x000f006e41ad5d80f63b300260291d1ef9aa20f5cf2d5a9821b572a234eaecb7
2.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 3:38:58 P.M.
From: 0x003c9aC78A76ce401469475a1e2F9E372e1d754b
To: 0x0011A77cF0A806159CcfC8191969d0C83Ec4cD2c
Tx: 0x005700741ece9213f4daa7cacaeaedc71c816942c588b40e60b8a18973167fbf