Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 3:22:00 P.M. to 07/13/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,861.8
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
16,861.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0027C4183365a2f3d6d21EF640abBa0F144f03aA.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 16862 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0027C4183365a2f3d6d21EF640abBa0F144f03aA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
16,861.8 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0027C4183365a2f3d6d21EF640abBa0F144f03aA
Net sender
Unknown type
3,942.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
Kryptex miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
3,645.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x001Ca6E57B29399995673dEa29ecCCa67FA006eB
Net sender
Unknown type
3,392.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0066CF8b9F08Ec87d9b5D11D1b301732D49E78eE
Net sender
Unknown type
2,960.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 16,861.8 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate12 tx
175,569.67 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/13/2026, 3:21:53 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
77,930.5 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/13/2026, 3:20:53 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
16,861.8 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/13/2026, 3:22:53 P.M.
+2 min
25 tx
48,005.05 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/13/2026, 3:23:53 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
830 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/13/2026, 3:18:42 P.M.
+3 min
19 tx
17,237.78 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/13/2026, 3:24:53 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
15,936.43 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/13/2026, 3:18:15 P.M.
+4 min
17 tx
12,192.45 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/13/2026, 3:25:53 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,942.18 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0027C4183365a2f3d6d21EF640abBa0F144f03aA
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
2,922.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 3:22:29 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x00678D59C90247446Fb2Eb13B6a4dA4939561d35
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0045005cdf0692e5231a5db0ef47f248900f664cdb9a9c080f69227f88795927
3,645.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x0043fa720C12bEAF9c6EC7Bb3Ef0FBCddC0424B0
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007a00276c244f2342c1e0f92a69d94f33964f239c4ebfbbfacdb6510bcf8a4c
3,392.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
From: 0x001Ca6E57B29399995673dEa29ecCCa67FA006eB
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0036004c2ae1688779dc38a0e8a91570d204b7c7f43394f3f675690482ef239c
3,942.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
From: 0x0027C4183365a2f3d6d21EF640abBa0F144f03aA
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a00260a152b952b18d580c0baac0bdc1482201e4b7ce5a7e13693521fbe24
2,960.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
From: 0x0066CF8b9F08Ec87d9b5D11D1b301732D49E78eE
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f0026b36ca79c96980ed8421d0b6cf74506faa6dc4fb5868704d8895975f6