Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 12:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 12:11:00 P.M. to 07/13/2026, 12:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,038.92
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
12x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
19,038.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004c1b5F7D7eeEB8823580A1b987b693B80edd3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 19039 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004c1b5F7D7eeEB8823580A1b987b693B80edd3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 12:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
18,769.13 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004c1b5F7D7eeEB8823580A1b987b693B80edd3
Net sender
Unknown type
10,390.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007Db0e62DdaBbBD93f88D3363e20caCc2cD0f56
Net sender
Unknown type
7,864.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
Balanced
Unknown type
301.29 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
269.79 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 18,769.13 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,003.75 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/13/2026, 12:10:55 P.M.
-1 min
50 tx
1,648.9 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/13/2026, 12:09:56 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
19,038.92 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/13/2026, 12:11:55 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
10,400 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 12:07:55 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
2,064.96 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 12:06:55 P.M.
-6 min
1 tx
7,874 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 12:04:55 P.M.
+6 min
1 tx
100.33 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 12:16:55 P.M.
-7 min
Best candidate2 tx
29,691.28 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/13/2026, 12:03:55 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,390.27 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 12:11:41 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004c1b5F7D7eeEB8823580A1b987b693B80edd3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
100.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 12:11:41 P.M.
From: 0x003Deceb4dc3e586b05CEf1e689AE61ef2A7bC6b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c002a15f7dbfe9c3945ec27d3033f11eb6d0b7042fdf03406d9ae3a6674b5
198.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 12:11:41 P.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f0061b3f93ef5be6a683901d97dd208427dff427f1c15caae4d2443bedc47
111.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 12:11:41 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d0013ed381657f7dfe48783ef0e0cffdeb528464dcbc326fa17b801338832
10,390.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 12:11:41 P.M.
From: 0x0004c1b5F7D7eeEB8823580A1b987b693B80edd3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0022003a9069f3f65c475045ba1c8dec7bf79184586bd8a68028ba53b559801b
7,864.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 12:11:41 P.M.
From: 0x007Db0e62DdaBbBD93f88D3363e20caCc2cD0f56
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0064007a991033476a9f04b88c0ba62117d5ae1a9c5b201dde1c27f897cba19d
104.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 12:11:41 P.M.
From: 0x0036eFB8D70493c0c033e5cF97EA4Cec2C0e9dd6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0000007318dc229e64b63c062e1c66f0687d162c8a6310d43ecc04b3c7baa44c
161.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 12:11:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x001d007741df9e357b2bcf8e402915fe503112dfa336a45beb11e7371a6d0b6c
5.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 12:11:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0063C504CD47Cc115338f4130026576471a3F4B3
Tx: 0x0020004c76b996906f06dee19e700c9d4467ad297fc81be79bf2142e329b3b45
102.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 12:11:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
Tx: 0x0041000418e4528c295f1b22eea0fc094105a6ff266d0c61ae84177238f4cfad