Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 11:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 11:17:00 A.M. to 07/13/2026, 11:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,401.06
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
4.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
21,401.06 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 21401 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 11:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
21,401.06 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
10,041.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004741D44B7d8f346CBfCbd607E752F423a902E3
Net sender
Unknown type
9,390.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94
Net sender
Unknown type
1,349.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
414.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 21,401.06 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
21,401.06 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/13/2026, 11:17:55 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
3,798.43 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/13/2026, 11:13:55 A.M.
-5 min
11 tx
1,156.88 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/13/2026, 11:11:55 A.M.
+5 min
2 tx
307.69 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/13/2026, 11:21:55 A.M.
-6 min
13 tx
11,231.91 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/13/2026, 11:10:55 A.M.
+6 min
3 tx
635.63 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/13/2026, 11:22:55 A.M.
-7 min
20 tx
189.91 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/13/2026, 11:09:55 A.M.
-8 min
31 tx
528.83 QUAI • 33 addresses
07/13/2026, 11:08:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,041.2 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 11:17:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
1,349.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 11:17:53 A.M.
From: 0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0020000aa0216aa03655313fe65768ac4920f1e7c0584803240cb30e6524aab4
10,041.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 11:17:53 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0012000a25fb39791a967458675d57267148a7ad1994f0f7dcda4f5125de551e
414.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 11:17:53 A.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00200079723f0f671a21de4c729d522fb757fd03b0b123d4d5d23903912a09f9
100.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 11:17:53 A.M.
From: 0x0044f3FE88FFF1B42B4CAF8000F086B0FaF4958F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00060003cb351c35600a122d127e62d912a739b4b92961479dfa95c7135a26db
105.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 11:17:53 A.M.
From: 0x006D3d1D8395e4a8ac02a39981E4e497BB839F1d
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0020004540cb4b53a4e94950f8cd89e9d145ef8a626425a101cafe6f78bd3d34
9,390.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 11:17:53 A.M.
From: 0x004741D44B7d8f346CBfCbd607E752F423a902E3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00640021865a6e9ea2fda2295e5ea581566122bad073250ccfca9e8b14af32e5