Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 10:57:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 10:57:00 A.M. to 07/13/2026, 10:58:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,532.76
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.3x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
4,532.76 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4533 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 10:57:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,492.76 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
2,744.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
Net sender
Unknown type
1,747.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
Net sender
Unknown type
40 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
40 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,492.76 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+2 min
4 tx
5,404.76 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/13/2026, 10:58:51 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
5,404.76 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/13/2026, 10:58:52 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
16,686.33 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/13/2026, 10:53:55 A.M.
+4 min
41 tx
100,000.39 QUAI • 43 addresses
07/13/2026, 11:00:55 A.M.
+5 min
Best candidate63 tx
238,861.46 QUAI • 66 addresses
07/13/2026, 11:01:55 A.M.
-6 min
4 tx
3,370.53 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/13/2026, 10:50:55 A.M.
-7 min
5 tx
4,294.68 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/13/2026, 10:49:55 A.M.
-8 min
1 tx
918.75 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 10:48:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,744.96 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 10:57:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,747.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 10:57:15 A.M.
From: 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00640032f429945c3ebf58f171536e3e3ce0e8c7b811e110f0a03190cd7ece63
2,744.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 10:57:15 A.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c003c98322da635cdc620187682662f359b23fd9ba45953c4246a7dbcd030
40 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 10:57:15 A.M.
From: 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0001002548f00e6c9129652bc2d3dea08958c43bc3b978913983cda6f16e7fb5