Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 10:29:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 10:29:00 A.M. to 07/13/2026, 10:30:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12.65
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
12.65 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 13 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 10:29:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
12.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Net sender
Unknown type
8.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004A3c913633d432BfEd8d8B1236cf755d898877
Net sender
Unknown type
4.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
2 tx
12.65 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/13/2026, 10:29:55 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
300,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 10:26:55 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
314,544.09 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/13/2026, 10:31:55 A.M.
+7 min
1 tx
66.78 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 10:35:55 A.M.
-8 min
1 tx
19,930.39 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 10:20:55 A.M.
+9 min
2 tx
23,507.54 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/13/2026, 10:37:55 A.M.
+10 min
2 tx
15,974.44 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/13/2026, 10:38:55 A.M.
+11 min
4 tx
37,817.41 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/13/2026, 10:39:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
8.08 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 10:29:32 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
4.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 10:29:32 A.M.
From: 0x004A3c913633d432BfEd8d8B1236cf755d898877
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006d0002e15943186232f9ac3e3ab98333c535a3ddeff4ad881e23f8989c974e
8.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 10:29:32 A.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0033003eea273765fb214cebbbd1c787af9d5152aac99507a1fa4e9901aa76b5