Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 9:21:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 9:21:00 A.M. to 07/13/2026, 9:22:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
73% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 82.21
Unexplained QUAI: 30.08
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
112.29 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x000C7d44853CFA0eDe38668f814fdbc2354793cC.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 112 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x000C7d44853CFA0eDe38668f814fdbc2354793cC.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 9:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (27% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
50.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000C7d44853CFA0eDe38668f814fdbc2354793cC
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
31.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b5e7E138128F62455234813e3f7D8e0FE75cD
Net receiver
Unknown type
31.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
204.25 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 9:20:55 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
2,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 9:19:55 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
112.29 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/13/2026, 9:21:55 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
2,070 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/13/2026, 9:18:55 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
31.76 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 9:22:55 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
347.78 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/13/2026, 9:17:55 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
7,909.24 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/13/2026, 9:23:55 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
3,999.24 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 9:24:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
50.45 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 9:21:08 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x000C7d44853CFA0eDe38668f814fdbc2354793cC
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
31.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 9:21:59 A.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x003b5e7E138128F62455234813e3f7D8e0FE75cD
Tx: 0x003f001a3aa2932553aa1e4973a86cebb4f6664a0f8047a5f5f0e6e97523e30c
50.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 9:21:08 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x000C7d44853CFA0eDe38668f814fdbc2354793cC
Tx: 0x002200695fb9fe8ed309d1c88bebe4f6a70592aad8bb66391af93e9aec3b5812