Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 6:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 6:07:00 A.M. to 07/13/2026, 6:08:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 41,180.86
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
1.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
19,999.1 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 19999 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 6:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Balanced
Unknown type
39,997.84 QUAI across 2 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
21,181.76 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11
Net sender
Unknown type
221.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006374Baf4FAf34939ac989DE57B06e63D7049F4
Net sender
Unknown type
210.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 21,181.76 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
17 tx
14,727.82 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/13/2026, 6:05:55 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
19,999.1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 6:07:55 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
21,181.76 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/13/2026, 6:08:55 A.M.
+3 min
50 tx
850.15 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/13/2026, 6:09:55 A.M.
+4 min
18 tx
1,077.99 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/13/2026, 6:10:55 A.M.
-7 min
Best candidate4 tx
22,907.63 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/13/2026, 5:59:55 A.M.
-10 min
1 tx
19,999.1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 5:56:55 A.M.
+11 min
1 tx
190.97 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/13/2026, 6:17:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.1 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 6:07:24 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
178.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 6:07:56 A.M.
From: 0x002d105d7A2aA4809b815643e5ac4c5f2A9bB3d7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0031003aec13c09e7ad75f4dbfa329acf4056098c8daec330bf024945115a797
221.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 6:07:56 A.M.
From: 0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0004001f29ec32bc77cb8d3c2db9ce088f9bd26c8c74048f41d932b6a30ff4b2
210.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 6:07:56 A.M.
From: 0x006374Baf4FAf34939ac989DE57B06e63D7049F4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0045002ece3cde650b41387eaa3653f8ac4430513564556245852248c9e6805e
19,998.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 6:07:56 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00420045050cd6d40fb142908726c9557c7040bf9bac05cc71ca1e133ec7fed4
123.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 6:07:56 A.M.
From: 0x0001de111c2a95c43834F13193c63c35976d8f37
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003d0002aa7feb661b69d5bed8d93d9d91c6e08173c11fdc31a55bba14efa48e
105.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 6:07:56 A.M.
From: 0x0005EF22Dff611f376446762c42A72565b9550D2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0058005d86680b78c13ff3c5d083bb5dc9d6d8183092bb82503508575d7631af
177.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 6:07:56 A.M.
From: 0x0067286d699EfE0d239c205a594eA040f06114Aa
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003500765780a04c34ef12f690d73eb300c04f9b58a11b32227aa118e114d266
166.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 6:07:56 A.M.
From: 0x003F69C21C7bB382E5d63a468D47e25e9C297793
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e006c05288c7c74fd0da0de9b30c914671a64639d1d5ac7ca359d07a3ff04
19,999.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 6:07:24 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x00790045b9ce053011d0d55010e357d7cc20f0dee13ada6840fd5dde14ae6bbe
