Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 2:44:00 A.M. to 07/13/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
6% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,363.25
Unexplained QUAI: 88,626.26
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.5x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
55
Observable rows
10
18.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
60
Asset volume
93,989.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 93990 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (94% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,873.18 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,490.07 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x006E6D7EC2BB958447Ed039c290a333165667D8F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,409.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006Daaf7375Dd65D0A8719E916734607bbE326c3
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,062.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Net receiver
Unknown type
910.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
55 tx
93,989.51 QUAI • 60 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:44:03 A.M.
-1 min
21 tx
198,273.03 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:43:03 A.M.
+1 min
41 tx
653,398.69 QUAI • 47 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:45:04 A.M.
-2 min
15 tx
194,172.42 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:42:09 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate13 tx
1,052,622.18 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:46:04 A.M.
-3 min
41 tx
43,857.2 QUAI • 47 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:41:03 A.M.
+3 min
58 tx
8,776.58 QUAI • 60 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:47:03 A.M.
-4 min
59 tx
45,375.72 QUAI • 63 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:40:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,409.56 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:44:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006E6D7EC2BB958447Ed039c290a333165667D8F
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
386.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:44:52 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006f68a2B8BB099c08370c14e9656d24bcf60638
Tx: 0x00650069df75f39663411c52e092f58e1aec37490dfcf33986527a9dafa32116
429.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:44:52 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
Tx: 0x005c0021c335b2f36523125110d46185be6cc4cdc56acede75982ad24b94ae5a
323.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:44:24 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0076Da9a6886F157F0DaB2132a5A617f666665DD
Tx: 0x00570047134658667ad5150c96f386fd301c356dffc56c951c0aa7632032d456
104.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:44:24 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006f5A581C7Bfdbe150D1c1CA90fFc18Dc1fc721
Tx: 0x0052001a4565ce694c7c64b68da27ca6115cf8797e57d1c6dd87367f14769a70
1,409.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:44:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006E6D7EC2BB958447Ed039c290a333165667D8F
Tx: 0x0074002842a81217bde02eeb66bed2b794d37b82a4299700325a61ad384ddcb1
583.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:44:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0074DA5D1C9E649401a8958A11AA88347C743C62
Tx: 0x0016007f3b05b7e4ee45af5ba3e4cd923fcf02b0b3be109c652ced377053b894
90.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:44:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0072C65c20d0b568943788B5796FBd6d08A1b127
Tx: 0x004c0007eb651de330621e2bb5ab5dee7972918d23d466b507a504b711afeb91
1,062.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:44:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006Daaf7375Dd65D0A8719E916734607bbE326c3
Tx: 0x00250013a0706ded6aedd772109ead60098277ef2d4e4d56605f484ceb254db6
63.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:44:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00716eE9D7C4eF522ccd4fD5Cbc875B4F2C789B0
Tx: 0x0007001df5298e4c0bfe67c742c0e6df3bb439c66b680dbab7d5d72add68472c
910.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:44:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Tx: 0x00200020a30fe9774561e5ba94d16fc7b872d9eb5c420fa550f24034a8c00de2