Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 2:43:00 A.M. to 07/13/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
3% coverage
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,402.89
Unexplained QUAI: 191,870.14
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
1.0x previous minute
2.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
21
Observable rows
10
47.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
198,273.03 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x006c6B8b7aBEf0C66a7d38BC87444732e03c5394.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 198273 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 48
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x006c6B8b7aBEf0C66a7d38BC87444732e03c5394.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,081.9 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x006c6B8b7aBEf0C66a7d38BC87444732e03c5394
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,546.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,320.99 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x006ce554855409Be67d17f237004C0bD456A5a94
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,284.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d01c04C111068604F9C3cB0948eDc6a1808A0
Net receiver
Unknown type
811.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
21 tx
198,273.03 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:43:03 A.M.
-1 min
15 tx
194,172.42 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:42:09 A.M.
+1 min
55 tx
93,989.51 QUAI • 60 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:44:03 A.M.
-2 min
41 tx
43,857.2 QUAI • 47 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:41:03 A.M.
+2 min
41 tx
653,398.69 QUAI • 47 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:45:04 A.M.
-3 min
59 tx
45,375.72 QUAI • 63 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:40:03 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate13 tx
1,052,622.18 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:46:04 A.M.
-4 min
18 tx
13,204.09 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:39:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,546.16 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:43:39 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006c6B8b7aBEf0C66a7d38BC87444732e03c5394
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
376.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:43:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Tx: 0x00560043b839db344e81a47cff7b1cab3388cae97d5b0a9d79ec43c581815c23
811.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:43:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006d01c04C111068604F9C3cB0948eDc6a1808A0
Tx: 0x001a0048b1deb4e2ae21d6ac3dd6dd3eda416635c1b63396f7b45295f5c9b054
1,284.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:43:39 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006ce554855409Be67d17f237004C0bD456A5a94
Tx: 0x0060007533c367bf711ba7c64382831e82fd4646164204d4cb0206d8b0badc1b
2,546.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:43:39 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006c6B8b7aBEf0C66a7d38BC87444732e03c5394
Tx: 0x00010079ab895877846f0908a686ed1e7c094bf179dbb24a89603c11e9d33d26
323.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:43:35 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006b3958187a1F8BFBD8858D3F5A17544bb1Ba16
Tx: 0x005e0054fed1fd48de75bbb6e92965db910e0bfea06fe5685686cc385d4eb91c
260.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:43:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006b3958187a1F8BFBD8858D3F5A17544bb1Ba16
Tx: 0x007100256a0b6698eecac14c2d87222e00e08e3778ea2df3c87938bf274c2237
264.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:43:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0068C572cDdbdeea1264F2c36236a05D60dC20d4
Tx: 0x00010007d1f0c906c5b57f11b8d5a5c7b3c67436d8fd69c72fc646f0416f2cdc
303.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:43:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006B292c260bd9770AD30038910CEc5765d56E21
Tx: 0x00490021deb67036e199bd8bd6a109a8692c5122388fe14697d802752f595036
95.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:43:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006a6A77c1441Ff0BcB6C602d48C9Eb71ae0D75d
Tx: 0x0077000f68ade83407e5712a4901ca0ac317f381d31af40a092c0ad3b433e6ae
136.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:43:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006816c0BB197785FEE20b2Fc58948B4Da58A90c
Tx: 0x000a00535553272eca349ad793979852ce3c45e23801e2711e931ae95da3c867