Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 2:40:00 A.M. to 07/13/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
22% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,033.21
Unexplained QUAI: 35,342.51
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
3.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
59
Observable rows
10
16.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
63
Asset volume
45,375.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 45376 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (78% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (22%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
7,215.57 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,456.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,817.64 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,506.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00619e196945A409F8B0dC0BD52CfC75c409Ef66
Net receiver
Unknown type
834.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
59 tx
45,375.72 QUAI • 63 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:40:03 A.M.
-1 min
18 tx
13,204.09 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:39:01 A.M.
+1 min
41 tx
43,857.2 QUAI • 47 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:41:03 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
1,224.75 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:38:02 A.M.
+2 min
15 tx
194,172.42 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:42:09 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
680.37 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:37:02 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate21 tx
198,273.03 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:43:03 A.M.
-4 min
80 tx
11,103.3 QUAI • 85 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:36:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,456.67 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
746.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:40:50 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0062c980Ebe67AF14207ea5310c559EE747183A1
Tx: 0x001a0039955de98a71d7fdfcaea63d6cf5f6befdd86f8492c6bce05da3d5bfe3
179.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:40:50 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00627Ca48Eb5122B274badc01b1be67E9bde7f1b
Tx: 0x002e00762031838c52de25ac5aef6bbeadbc5cd04ffbf38c0a8d26e757f31266
2,506.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:40:43 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Tx: 0x0071002c740979f079621ccafb665ce9ec7bac58ad4b4584172a80a4413fe4a6
736.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:40:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00628BF61B02ba4a9b3C5e3C4d13D53Dc70B8038
Tx: 0x007200770f346a2a88118336ec4ca2d5cd4ad1b5a46c8842438ba57b7454d85b
92.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:40:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006200b5Bf4f35f2d793382eC2AFF48a2895a5A7
Tx: 0x002c00297e205c6e1caa7c2169fc059c83b524a16a67d23b1e2da2ccc87dd749
697.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:40:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0061a33dB1dc22a5dF4b9939995C22bb6937eC09
Tx: 0x001d0051b021bdb8042fb8c15b2c9060fafcfa4becbe4cc3a235ef0b22b51212
375.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:40:36 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0061602a3dF8B527a69bc84bF41dA6610a8DC044
Tx: 0x00140035cf76a87212699c5676e523bf45154dd492c6cfb4f0bf3fbf3e715fb5
834.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:40:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00619e196945A409F8B0dC0BD52CfC75c409Ef66
Tx: 0x0055001f12f174b3c7743eeaae53639be4332a7f6174cb4caf212ef81d5fcc4e
406.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0061625f72324047381d519e80cd4054FE1F2b8f
Tx: 0x006f001aa015dd286fbc96f0bb6eebcec358c5a90132b68870e5d5d5aaa4fac4
3,456.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Tx: 0x003300331302dcf5afcccb2278cb0a53e2fab0f2f63aca28a9e64eac0255dc74