Spike bucket
07/13/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/13/2026, 2:17:00 A.M. to 07/13/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
8% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,193.32
Unexplained QUAI: 63,707.17
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 19% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
23x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
98
Observable rows
15
15.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
80
Asset volume
68,900.49 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 68900 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/13/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,923.37 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,549.88 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00210882eCeCb8822A7B681a43f0F599a7513236
Net receiver
Unknown type
998.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
Net receiver
Unknown type
929.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
720.07 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
98 tx
68,900.49 QUAI • 80 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:17:02 A.M.
-1 min
96 tx
3,030.79 QUAI • 95 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:16:02 A.M.
+1 min
76 tx
133,904.7 QUAI • 75 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:18:02 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
188,517.46 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:15:02 A.M.
+2 min
61 tx
29,901.71 QUAI • 63 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:19:04 A.M.
-3 min
57 tx
49,874.92 QUAI • 50 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:14:02 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate12 tx
8,012,319.97 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:20:03 A.M.
-4 min
128 tx
34,293.19 QUAI • 121 addresses
07/13/2026, 2:13:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
998.8 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:17:42 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00210882eCeCb8822A7B681a43f0F599a7513236
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
77.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:17:58 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004B0A585dbcCa99Bf6293233aB579E2610B86DD
Tx: 0x00090061912d036f0e322f13a0daa4cde60ccc2b423fc1a75d1812b754dc4dae
695.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:17:58 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00222320062d091D63Fe7eb51A70D5E691D2Af67
Tx: 0x00090013275690a6fbad7f45b0ff53f7f0ecacdc9d70a5c13944bb68a19be8d6
577.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:17:58 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
Tx: 0x003b003de7ba886d2eaab9a0165496d25b63253cf62dc0233387cb61a8263da4
151.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:17:42 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
Tx: 0x007800063f60136f4b254a37647d8be9eda16b3404c0af0d481fdc476bf9e257
998.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:17:42 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00210882eCeCb8822A7B681a43f0F599a7513236
Tx: 0x007300167c3fd67b9c554941f0c647c0ddf9515c805c9ec27ba55f26d2054dd5
427.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:17:42 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004553a6d0B891091ED001f56EeC7Baf94794772
Tx: 0x007f0010aea51dc767b67c85acf5d36f23575fce1acdb70c0ff443cab56fe8ab
120.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:17:23 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00428aBCd879D00A29a436CE0cB998C3376b38E1
Tx: 0x0075007d3610f840ff0c501d2bdb863294bc0f82e3189a6bff304d64cffcb930
44.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:17:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001f3E19dDB09B46450F8Df87120f8C3C66C16cC
Tx: 0x00020013fc0774e8b3dbc478035300cb6843c23a71a1b909ee7f48acfa2b8da4
111.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:17:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A570Ade45E3Fc1bdE376D88614526c181Ab7c
Tx: 0x004e003d78a87eb691f9ca9f1d4d072a0e70897f9befe444a15cdbb8a6a766bc
46.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:17:19 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0040EDcF696F9e0248b62444343dd1C872e151f1
Tx: 0x005e000e360f1ab7656c4f8e8d49a0460823827aad1b064a0b7fec61699acbe5
287.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:17:19 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416
Tx: 0x0006003e1abbf11bb5993eac45c756cc7469a1d98f3ad4b0bb487fa0bc632365
254.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:17:19 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001E7790F6107e17Ff7a8B44cB8DcB5329D894F0
Tx: 0x000a006f00e16f8c344ebe6967bc7b067f96f114d5f9b6cfb667101311dcef56
422.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:17:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0017e043bC29e32850Bf62db9A38E53A989708d7
Tx: 0x005e0022618fd028f1198f16e70bbdf4b0e2c0efd49a724de0657879c0bbc136
47.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:17:07 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085
Tx: 0x007a0019e9b1fc69461a70360b422d87d787240d00e587c96f557087eed38c61
929.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/13/2026, 2:17:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
Tx: 0x00700075a34793260360c61fea8eb5b48a8db2e1b85c4cc03bc9bdaead8d3833