Spike bucket
07/12/2026, 9:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/12/2026, 9:14:00 A.M. to 07/12/2026, 9:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 61,705.53
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
3.5x above local average
2.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
61,705.53 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00527fC92135AC45e36261b062899736B7DF4BC8.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 61706 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00527fC92135AC45e36261b062899736B7DF4BC8.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/12/2026, 9:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
61,705.53 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00527fC92135AC45e36261b062899736B7DF4BC8
Net sender
Unknown type
32,618.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00209610e38C523372670C986984331A62a3aFD6
Net sender
Unknown type
29,087.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 61,705.53 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
28,993 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 9:12:56 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
61,705.53 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/12/2026, 9:14:56 A.M.
-2 min
26 tx
1,277.88 QUAI • 27 addresses
07/12/2026, 9:11:57 A.M.
-4 min
50 tx
549.91 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/12/2026, 9:09:57 A.M.
-7 min
2 tx
32,653.47 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/12/2026, 9:06:56 A.M.
-8 min
2 tx
7,887.82 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/12/2026, 9:05:56 A.M.
-9 min
1 tx
7,762.5 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 9:04:56 A.M.
-11 min
1 tx
31.83 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 9:02:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
32,618.27 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 9:14:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00527fC92135AC45e36261b062899736B7DF4BC8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
29,087.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 9:14:15 A.M.
From: 0x00209610e38C523372670C986984331A62a3aFD6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00660008642af0c88224ab4a0fb1a895e45e73f83a5c70a47ce4cff1d37c222a
32,618.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 9:14:15 A.M.
From: 0x00527fC92135AC45e36261b062899736B7DF4BC8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d002a6617b85563a77fe76fae2d605f14e8af1e5cda287457a189350e106f
