Spike bucket
07/12/2026, 8:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/12/2026, 8:36:00 A.M. to 07/12/2026, 8:37:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 24,185.36
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
24,185.36 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 24185 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/12/2026, 8:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
13,786.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Net receiver
Unknown type
13,786.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
10,398.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,398.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 13,786.69 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
2 tx
24,185.36 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/12/2026, 8:36:56 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
850.5 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/12/2026, 8:32:56 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
819.8 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 8:39:56 A.M.
+5 min
1 tx
28 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 8:40:56 A.M.
-6 min
1 tx
20,606.29 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 8:29:56 A.M.
-7 min
5 tx
33.13 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/12/2026, 8:28:56 A.M.
+7 min
Best candidate7 tx
37,668.07 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/12/2026, 8:42:56 A.M.
+8 min
2 tx
102.56 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/12/2026, 8:43:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
13,786.69 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 8:36:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
10,398.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 8:36:29 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0040004145fbcdfa49bbedfd2638a923beddf117d7268908220165bd277509f9
13,786.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 8:36:14 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002f01Cf9B149F313E5d9eFE3847EB49A2472472
Tx: 0x0036003345752542fa1b6c66956904973afcbd7c20f3281bac258bb575237de5