Spike bucket
07/12/2026, 7:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/12/2026, 7:18:00 A.M. to 07/12/2026, 7:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 250.97
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
250.97 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 251 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/12/2026, 7:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
213.31 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
109.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
Net sender
Unknown type
103.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
37.66 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0052E80920fa41D2351f03097811Bb8f1bd73362
Net sender
Unknown type
33.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 213.31 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
4 tx
250.97 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/12/2026, 7:18:55 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
20,619.78 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/12/2026, 7:14:55 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
51.77 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 7:12:55 A.M.
+5 min
1 tx
11,216.53 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 7:22:55 A.M.
-7 min
28 tx
1,131.82 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/12/2026, 7:10:55 A.M.
-8 min
50 tx
1,202.99 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/12/2026, 7:09:55 A.M.
-9 min
2 tx
10,001.11 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/12/2026, 7:08:55 A.M.
+10 min
1 tx
11,216.13 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/12/2026, 7:27:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
109.76 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 7:18:47 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
109.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 7:18:47 A.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00380061889c41f82969725c654e490f6e5e0378e6f20b7ee202ea875d4b5048
103.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 7:18:47 A.M.
From: 0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f00725895872e5ea7efd5687c728c373ba9676e508a5f1a97647e2ccf864a
33.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 7:18:47 A.M.
From: 0x0052E80920fa41D2351f03097811Bb8f1bd73362
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006f00033e7ca5704c0c914018a784da4cc7dbf27fb421c4dae1d0c3d5113d2c
4.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/12/2026, 7:18:47 A.M.
From: 0x007510f999E7B68BA84EeC7f9ABC0E3F0547C2BD
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0004002075786a8586ba50a0e7b6ebe5266c8d99a24b00f8eeb3b3b7e5d3fe95